A Lions XV from the Autumn – According to the Data

A Lions XV from the Autumn – According to the Data: Bundee Aki or Sione Tuipulotu? Jac Morgan or Tom Curry? The analysts at Opta have crunched the numbers to produce a Lions XV based on autumn performances.

The autumn internationals have concluded, leaving a trail of thrilling victories, agonizing defeats, and plenty of talking points. For many rugby fans, the highlight is the opportunity to speculate on the next British and Irish Lions tour. While the squad selection remains a distant prospect, the performances of players during this autumn series offer a fascinating glimpse into potential contenders. Opta, the renowned sports data provider, has delved into the statistics, providing a data-driven perspective on who might make the cut for a hypothetical Lions XV based purely on their recent displays.

The selection process is far from straightforward. Form is fleeting, and individual brilliance doesn’t always translate to team success. However, Opta’s analysis provides a valuable framework, highlighting key metrics like tackle success rate, carries made, metres gained, offloads, and turnovers won. By quantifying these aspects, we can gain a clearer understanding of each player’s contribution and their suitability for the demanding physicality and strategic depth required of a Lions XV.

The Contenders: A Data-Driven Analysis

Several positions present intriguing battles for selection. Let’s delve into some of the key head-to-heads, examining the Opta data that underscores the potential candidates:

Centre: Bundee Aki vs. Sione Tuipulotu

Both Bundee Aki and Sione Tuipulotu are renowned for their powerful running and robust defence. However, the Opta data reveals subtle differences in their playing styles. Aki boasts a higher success rate in tackling, reflecting his experience and physical dominance in contact situations. Tuipulotu, on the other hand, demonstrates a greater propensity for breaking the gain line, showcasing a dynamic attacking threat. The data suggests Aki might edge ahead in defensive solidity, while Tuipulotu provides a more potent offensive punch. Ultimately, the selection will likely depend on the specific needs of the Lions coaching team – a robust defensive presence versus a more explosive attacking option.

Flanker: Jac Morgan vs. Tom Curry

The battle for the flanker position is equally compelling. Jac Morgan and Tom Curry are both world-class talents, celebrated for their work rate, tackling prowess, and ability to disrupt opposition attacks. The Opta statistics highlight a fascinating contrast. Curry, with his years of international experience, boasts a consistently high turnover rate, indicative of his exceptional ball-winning ability. Morgan, while slightly younger, demonstrates a superior number of carries and metres gained, showing greater attacking ambition. This presents a compelling choice: Curry’s experience and disruptive skills versus Morgan’s youthful dynamism and offensive contributions.

Other Key Positions

The analysis extends beyond these key battles. Opta’s data sheds light on potential selections for other crucial positions in the team. We’ll examine the statistics for players vying for spots in the front row, the second row, the back row, and the backline. The data will help us understand their respective strengths and weaknesses, allowing us to build a well-rounded, data-backed Lions XV.

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